Schalke 04 II vs Paderborn 07 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
13º
18º
18º
0
10º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
11º
|
0 | 62 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 60 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 59 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 54 |
4º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 54 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 53 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 50 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 50 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 48 |
9º
|
5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 47 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 45 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 41 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 38 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 36 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 35 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 35 |
17º
|
14% | |
|
|
13º
|
0 | 32 |
18º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 50.5% |
|
Possible relegation
|
10% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
53% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
WIE
2 - 1
S04
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
S04
1 - 1
BSV
23%
22%
56%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
KÖL
3 - 0
S04
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
S04
3 - 1
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
PAD
2 - 0
S04
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn 07 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
DRO
2 - 2
PAD
61%
21%
19%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
HAV
2 - 7
PAD
64%
19%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
PAD
7 - 0
SCV
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
HAN
3 - 2
PAD
69%
17%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
PAD
2 - 0
PRE
63%
20%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |