Schalke 04 II vs Paderborn 07 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
18º
16º
37
8º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 65 |
2º
|
97% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 57 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 55 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 53 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 50 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 44 |
9º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 41 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 40 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 40 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 38 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 37 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 35 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 34 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 30 |
17º
|
43% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 29 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
17.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
82.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SVE
2 - 1
S04
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
S04
1 - 2
ROT
27%
23%
50%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
S04
1 - 1
GUT
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
4 - 1
S04
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
S04
1 - 2
MSV
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn 07 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
PAD
1 - 2
WIE
62%
21%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KÖL
1 - 3
PAD
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PAD
1 - 1
FOR
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KFC
3 - 1
PAD
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 1
PAD
45%
24%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |