Schalding-Heining vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
17º
16º
42
3º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalding-Heining
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 1
NUR
22%
22%
57%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
WUR
2 - 2
SCH
82%
13%
6%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 4
TAM
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WAC
3 - 0
SCH
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 2
EIN
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
3 - 0
SCH
36%
23%
41%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
NUR
2 - 2
BAY
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 2
WUR
17%
22%
60%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 0
BAY
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
1 - 1
WAC
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |