San Blas vs Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
37.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+189%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Blas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CDI
3 - 0
BLA
49%
19%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 1
BLA
55%
19%
26%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 2
SAL
19%
19%
63%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 3
CLU
61%
17%
22%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BLA
0 - 1
SPO
59%
20%
22%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
CLU
3 - 2
OBR
26%
19%
55%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
OBR
3 - 1
MAN
48%
20%
32%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SAL
8 - 2
OBR
82%
10%
7%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
OBR
0 - 1
ALC
21%
19%
60%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
OBR
30%
22%
49%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |