Progresso vs Vigor Carpaneto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LEN
2 - 1
PRO
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 1
SAM
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
5 - 0
PRO
62%
20%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 0
BRE
42%
22%
37%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PSM
0 - 1
PRO
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vigor Carpaneto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
USD
2 - 1
COR
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CRE
1 - 2
USD
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
USD
2 - 1
FIO
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 1
USD
87%
10%
4%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
USD
1 - 1
MEZ
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |