Progresso vs Corticella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
PRO
56%
22%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 0
SER
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 2
PRO
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
PRO
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
COR
0 - 2
RIM
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
COR
4 - 2
MEZ
19%
22%
60%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +3 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 0
COR
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
COR
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
ACA
7%
14%
78%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | +2 |