Progresso vs Real Forte Querceta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
RAV
5 - 0
PRO
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 0
PRO
22%
22%
57%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 3
PRO
24%
23%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
SAM
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 1
GHI
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Forte Querceta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
USR
0 - 1
TRI
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
ACP
1 - 1
USR
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
USR
0 - 0
FOR
23%
25%
52%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ASD
3 - 1
USR
27%
25%
48%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
USR
1 - 0
BAG
48%
25%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |