Progresso vs Seravezza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
40.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 2
PRO
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
PRO
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 2
ACP
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
PRO
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Seravezza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
COR
81%
13%
7%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 0
SER
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ACA
0 - 1
SER
69%
18%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SER
3 - 2
FOR
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |