Progresso vs Sammaurese analysis

Progresso Sammaurese
46 ELO 44
-28.4% Tilt -21.1%
5858º General ELO ranking 6331º
210º Country ELO ranking 233º
ELO win probability
46.5%
Progresso
27.7%
Draw
25.8%
Sammaurese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
Progresso
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.7%
Win probability
Sammaurese
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Progresso
+28%
+21%
Sammaurese

Points and table prediction

Progresso
Their league position
Sammaurese
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
10º
18º
11º
31
11º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Forli
84
84
100%
Ravenna FC
74
74
100%
Lentigione
65
65
100%
Tau Calcio
63
63
100%
Pistoiese
61
61
100%
Imolese
53
53
100%
Cittadella Vis Modena
47
47
100%
Prato
42
42
100%
Piacenza
42
42
0%
Tuttocuoio
10º
42
42
10º
0%
Progresso
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Zenith Prato
17º
23
38
12º
0%
San Marino Calcio
12º
38
38
13º
0%
Sasso Marconi
13º
37
37
14º
100%
Corticella
14º
36
36
15º
100%
Sammaurese
15º
31
31
16º
100%
Fiorenzuola
16º
26
26
17º
100%
Riccione
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Progresso
Sammaurese
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Progresso
Sammaurese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Progresso
Progresso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2025
LEN
Lentigione
3 - 0
Progresso
PRO
66%
22%
12%
47 57 10 0
06 Apr. 2025
CIT
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 - 1
Progresso
PRO
34%
27%
39%
47 35 12 0
30 Mar. 2025
PRO
Progresso
1 - 2
Fiorenzuola
FIO
56%
26%
18%
48 37 11 -1
23 Mar. 2025
ASD
Tau Calcio
1 - 1
Progresso
PRO
68%
21%
11%
47 57 10 +1
09 Mar. 2025
PRO
Progresso
4 - 0
Corticella
COR
27%
27%
46%
45 47 2 +2

Matches

Sammaurese
Sammaurese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2025
SAM
Sammaurese
0 - 1
San Marino Calcio
SAN
34%
26%
40%
43 46 3 0
06 Apr. 2025
FIO
Fiorenzuola
1 - 0
Sammaurese
SAM
35%
27%
39%
44 39 5 -1
30 Mar. 2025
SAM
Sammaurese
1 - 2
Imolese
IMO
35%
28%
37%
45 47 2 -1
23 Mar. 2025
CIT
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 - 1
Sammaurese
SAM
35%
26%
39%
44 34 10 +1
09 Mar. 2025
SAM
Sammaurese
0 - 0
Piacenza
PIA
15%
23%
62%
43 56 13 +1