Progresso vs Sammaurese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
29.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 1
GHI
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ACP
1 - 1
PRO
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
FOR
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
BAG
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
PRO
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 2
SAM
57%
23%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 0
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BAG
1 - 1
SAM
33%
26%
41%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 2
ACP
39%
25%
37%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 1
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |