Progresso vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+117%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
BAG
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
PRO
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
3 - 0
LEN
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +5 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
2 - 1
PRO
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
4 - 2
BSD
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
RAV
12%
20%
68%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 1
FOR
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAG
2 - 0
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 2
ACP
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LEN
3 - 2
FOR
60%
24%
17%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |