Progresso vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+115%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 1
BAG
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 3
PRO
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
PRO
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ACP
1 - 1
PRO
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 1
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 5
SAM
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ACA
3 - 0
FOR
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 0
COR
85%
11%
5%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
SER
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
RIM
2 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |