Progresso vs Fanfulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 1
PRO
78%
15%
8%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
MEZ
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
RIM
1 - 1
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
PRO
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 0
CAT
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 3
BSD
81%
13%
7%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 2
FAN
20%
21%
60%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FAN
2 - 1
CRE
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FAN
3 - 1
SAM
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 1
NIB
47%
23%
30%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |