Progresso vs Correggese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
54.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
USR
2 - 2
PRO
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
RAV
14%
18%
68%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
TRI
43%
24%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 1
PRO
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
3 - 1
ACP
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 2
COR
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
COR
1 - 0
TRI
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ACP
0 - 4
COR
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
COR
3 - 2
ASD
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BAG
0 - 0
COR
29%
24%
48%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |