Progresso vs Correggese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
45.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 1
FIO
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MEZ
0 - 0
PRO
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 1
CRE
28%
22%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 1
PRO
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 2
MAN
8%
16%
76%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Correggese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
COR
4 - 3
CRE
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 1
COR
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
COR
1 - 3
MEZ
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 2
COR
23%
21%
56%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
COR
0 - 1
FAN
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |