Progresso vs Cattolica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
43.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
USR
3 - 2
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
LEN
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GHI
0 - 0
PRO
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 3
RIM
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
FIO
4 - 0
PRO
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cattolica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SFF
0 - 4
CAT
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 0
SAN
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GIU
1 - 1
CAT
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 0
CHI
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 0
MON
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +2 |