Progresso vs Bagnolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 3
PRO
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
PRO
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ACP
1 - 1
PRO
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 1
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MEZ
2 - 1
PRO
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FIO
1 - 0
BAG
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
BAG
3 - 1
SAM
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
BAG
4 - 1
COR
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
BRE
11 - 0
BAG
93%
6%
1%
|
19 | 73 | 54 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIG
2 - 2
BAG
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |