Progresso vs Sasso Marconi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability

2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12%
Win probability

0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

+38%
-15%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
10º
18º
11º
37
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
![]() |
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
![]() |
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
![]() |
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
9º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
![]() |
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
![]() |
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
0% | |
![]() |
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
![]() |
17º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
0% | |
![]() |
12º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
0% | |
![]() |
13º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
![]() |
14º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
![]() |
15º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
![]() |
16º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
![]() |
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
05 May. 2024 |
MEZ
![]() 1 - 2
![]() PRO
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
28 Apr. 2024 |
PRO
![]() 2 - 3
![]() SAM
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
21 Apr. 2024 |
ACA
![]() 0 - 1
![]() PRO
55%
25%
20%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
14 Apr. 2024 |
PRO
![]() 0 - 4
![]() RAV
12%
23%
65%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
07 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
![]() 1 - 0
![]() PRO
82%
13%
5%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sasso Marconi

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 May. 2022 |
BAG
![]() 1 - 1
![]() ASD
48%
27%
25%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
22 May. 2022 |
ALC
![]() 0 - 1
![]() ASD
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
15 May. 2022 |
ASD
![]() 1 - 1
![]() RIM
10%
19%
71%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +1 |
08 May. 2022 |
ACA
![]() 1 - 2
![]() ASD
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
04 May. 2022 |
ASD
![]() 0 - 3
![]() COR
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |