Progresso vs Sasso Marconi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
BAG
2 - 1
PRO
46%
23%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 2
COR
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 0
PRO
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
ALC
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
BSD
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 1
ASD
41%
23%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 0
SAM
43%
25%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ACP
2 - 0
ASD
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 1
FOR
31%
26%
44%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +2 |