Progresso vs Alcione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
GHI
1 - 1
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
RIM
4 - 0
PRO
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 0
FAN
13%
18%
69%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +3 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 1
PRO
78%
15%
8%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
USR
1 - 1
ALC
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 0
MEZ
38%
24%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
BSD
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 1
ALC
52%
22%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 3
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |