Progresso vs Aglianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
56%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
COR
1 - 3
PRO
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 0
FOR
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 1
BAG
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 3
PRO
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
PRO
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ACA
3 - 0
COR
42%
22%
36%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
FIO
5 - 1
ACA
34%
23%
43%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ACA
2 - 1
BAG
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 0
SAM
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
RIM
1 - 3
ACA
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |