Obrera vs Manovar At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SAL
8 - 2
OBR
82%
10%
7%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
OBR
0 - 1
ALC
21%
19%
60%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
OBR
30%
22%
49%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
OBR
2 - 1
INM
18%
19%
64%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GSV
2 - 2
OBR
64%
17%
19%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manovar At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 3
SAL
19%
18%
64%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 1
BLA
55%
19%
26%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CDI
1 - 4
MAN
49%
20%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 3
ALC
15%
17%
68%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CLU
1 - 4
MAN
53%
21%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |