Obrera vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
15%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.8%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
49.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2.3%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MED
3 - 2
OBR
76%
13%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
OBR
0 - 1
SCA
59%
17%
24%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
OBR
80%
12%
8%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
OBR
1 - 8
BFL
8%
13%
80%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ONI
8 - 0
OBR
40%
21%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 2
BAR
39%
21%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BIA
0 - 5
CAS
34%
21%
46%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MED
4 - 2
CAS
63%
18%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
SCA
65%
17%
18%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PEN
4 - 0
CAS
73%
15%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |