Scanzorosciate vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SCA
2 - 0
SER
25%
26%
50%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SCA
1 - 2
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
USB
3 - 0
SCA
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -3 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SCA
1 - 2
TRI
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
SCA
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
DES
2 - 1
ADR
48%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 0
DES
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
NIB
2 - 3
DES
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DES
0 - 1
CAL
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
DES
3 - 2
VIL
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |