Scandicci vs Virtus Pavullese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scandicci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 3
SCA
17%
22%
60%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SCA
1 - 1
PIS
19%
27%
55%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 2
SCA
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 1
SCA
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SCA
2 - 1
TOD
36%
25%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 4
RAV
13%
21%
66%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LAN
0 - 0
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
TUT
33%
25%
41%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
VIR
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 3
ROS
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |