Woezik vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Woezik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 0
WOE
37%
22%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
SVL
1 - 1
WOE
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
WOE
1 - 1
TOP
54%
21%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TZA
1 - 1
WOE
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
WOE
5 - 3
RRH
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ALV
1 - 0
ERP
75%
15%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TOP
2 - 2
ALV
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ALV
3 - 2
EAV
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
RKV
1 - 2
ALV
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ALV
2 - 1
TZA
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |