SC Verl II vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
49%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
14º
13º
42
3º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 58 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 55 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 54 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 54 |
8º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 52 |
10º
|
62% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 49 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
|
13º
|
42 | 48 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
43 | 47 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 47 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 43 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 42 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 36 |
17º
|
93.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 29 |
18º
|
91% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 15 |
19º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Verl II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
LIP
0 - 2
SCV
77%
13%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SCV
0 - 0
BOC
24%
20%
55%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GIE
3 - 1
SCV
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCV
1 - 2
WER
32%
21%
47%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ERK
5 - 0
SCV
75%
14%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
RWA
2 - 2
SCH
71%
16%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CON
5 - 3
RWA
38%
21%
41%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RWA
3 - 2
SVR
57%
20%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ENN
2 - 2
RWA
26%
21%
54%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RWA
2 - 4
SPO
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |