SC Verl II vs Preußen Münster II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
63.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
14º
13º
48
4º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 58 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 55 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 54 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
48 | 54 |
8º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 52 |
10º
|
62% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 49 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 48 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
43 | 47 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 47 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 43 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 42 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 36 |
17º
|
93.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 29 |
18º
|
91% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 15 |
19º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Verl II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 3
SCV
18%
20%
63%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SCV
4 - 1
SVR
56%
20%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DSC
0 - 1
SCV
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SCV
4 - 1
SCM
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 1
SCV
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
SVE
3 - 1
PRE
33%
24%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GUT
2 - 1
PRE
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
WUP
3 - 2
PRE
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 1
FOR
28%
23%
49%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 2
WER
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |