SC Verl II vs VfL Bochum II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
55.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
14º
13º
71
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 58 |
4º
|
52.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 55 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 54 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 54 |
8º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
9º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 52 |
10º
|
62% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 49 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 48 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
43 | 47 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 47 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 43 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 42 |
16º
|
79.5% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 36 |
17º
|
93.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 29 |
18º
|
91% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 15 |
19º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Verl II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GIE
3 - 1
SCV
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCV
1 - 2
WER
32%
21%
47%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ERK
5 - 0
SCV
75%
14%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SCV
7 - 0
PRE
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +7 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 3
SCV
18%
20%
63%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BOC
3 - 1
SCH
66%
18%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CON
1 - 4
BOC
46%
22%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 0
SVR
50%
21%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ENN
2 - 1
BOC
26%
21%
53%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
BOC
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |