SC Ulbra vs Mixto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Ulbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
ULB
0 - 2
OPE
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
ARA
1 - 0
ULB
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
ULB
3 - 0
ARA
62%
20%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
OPE
3 - 3
ULB
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
MIX
1 - 1
ULB
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mixto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
MIX
2 - 1
ARA
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
MIX
0 - 0
OPE
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
OPE
1 - 2
MIX
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
ARA
3 - 1
MIX
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
MIX
1 - 1
ULB
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -2 |