Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-3
SC Ulbra vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Ulbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ULB
3 - 0
PIM
84%
10%
6%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
ULB
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
ULB
2 - 0
SAN
21%
21%
58%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
ULB
0 - 0
MIX
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
ULB
0 - 2
OPE
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
COT
2 - 2
PAR
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
COT
7 - 2
ROM
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
ACP
2 - 2
COT
16%
21%
64%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
COT
2 - 0
IRA
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
COT
2 - 1
LON
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |