St. Veit vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
56.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+174%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
10º
5º
29
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
51.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Veit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
SPI
2 - 4
SVE
82%
11%
7%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SVE
2 - 2
WOL
11%
14%
75%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 2
KLA
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KAC
4 - 3
SVE
72%
17%
12%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 0
SVJ
16%
19%
65%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FLC
2 - 0
KAC
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SVJ
0 - 1
FLC
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FLC
1 - 4
DIG
31%
21%
48%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
VOL
4 - 1
FLC
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FLC
1 - 1
LEN
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |