St. Stefan vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Stefan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
SKA
2 - 2
SCL
41%
25%
35%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SCL
4 - 1
WAC
78%
14%
7%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
GRI
0 - 0
SCL
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SCL
1 - 0
FLC
68%
18%
13%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
FCW
0 - 1
SCL
10%
19%
71%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
RAP
3 - 1
WOL
21%
23%
56%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
VOL
1 - 0
RAP
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
RAP
0 - 1
BLE
22%
23%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SAS
0 - 0
RAP
40%
25%
35%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
RAP
0 - 3
LEN
23%
24%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |