St. Stefan vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Stefan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
FCW
0 - 1
SCL
10%
19%
71%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 2
SCL
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
SCL
2 - 0
SCL
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
SCL
4 - 2
SVV
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
FLC
5 - 0
WOL
50%
24%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
VOL
2 - 2
FLC
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
FLC
1 - 1
BLE
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
SAS
1 - 1
FLC
12%
20%
68%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | -3 |