SC Retz vs Gaflenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Retz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
KOT
2 - 0
SCR
62%
20%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
SCR
4 - 2
KRE
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
SCO
2 - 4
SCR
16%
22%
62%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -3 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
SCR
2 - 1
SCH
84%
11%
4%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
GAF
2 - 1
GOT
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
ARD
1 - 2
GAF
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
GAF
1 - 1
VOS
16%
22%
62%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
LAN
1 - 3
GAF
28%
25%
48%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |