Penedense vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CSA
5 - 1
PEN
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 3
ASA
11%
21%
68%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 2
PEN
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 3
CSA
29%
30%
41%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CSE
4 - 1
PEN
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 1
CRB
15%
24%
62%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
IPA
1 - 3
MUR
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
SAN
33%
25%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CRB
5 - 1
MUR
75%
17%
9%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
CEO
0 - 1
MUR
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |