Penedense vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 2
CSE
21%
26%
53%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 0
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 1
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
SSS
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
IPA
2 - 1
SSS
35%
25%
40%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 0
IPA
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 1
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 0
IPA
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
3 - 1
IPA
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |