Penedense vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
PEN
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 2
CRB
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
CSE
2 - 1
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 2
MUR
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 2
COR
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
IPA
2 - 3
UNI
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
COR
2 - 0
IPA
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
IPA
3 - 2
COR
26%
26%
48%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +3 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ASA
4 - 0
IPA
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 2
IPA
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |