Penedense vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
CSA
2 - 2
PEN
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
IGA
0 - 0
PEN
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PEN
3 - 1
MUR
28%
25%
47%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
COR
3 - 1
PEN
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CRB
0 - 3
PEN
81%
13%
7%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
IPA
0 - 1
COR
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
COR
3 - 2
IPA
72%
17%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ASA
3 - 3
IPA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
IPA
1 - 1
CRB
20%
21%
59%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CSE
3 - 2
IPA
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |