Penedense vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
50.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2006 |
IPA
4 - 1
PEN
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 1
ASA
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
CSE
1 - 3
PEN
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
COR
5 - 0
PEN
77%
15%
9%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 4
MUR
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2006 |
CSA
1 - 0
MUR
66%
19%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
COR
0 - 1
CSA
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
CSA
4 - 0
COR
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
CSA
1 - 1
IPA
80%
13%
6%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
ASA
2 - 0
CSA
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |