Penedense vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ASA
2 - 2
PEN
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 3
ATA
37%
25%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
COR
2 - 0
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 0
IPA
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
PEN
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CRB
0 - 1
COR
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
CEO
0 - 1
CRB
20%
22%
59%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CRB
3 - 0
CSA
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
JEC
4 - 0
CRB
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CRB
1 - 3
JEC
23%
27%
50%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |