Penedense vs Coruripe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
PEN
1 - 1
CRB
18%
22%
61%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CSE
3 - 1
PEN
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
COR
2 - 3
PEN
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 0
ASA
35%
26%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
PEN
3 - 1
IPA
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
COR
6 - 2
IGA
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
COR
1 - 0
COR
51%
23%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2007 |
CSA
0 - 0
COR
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
COR
2 - 0
CSE
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
ASA
0 - 3
COR
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |