Penedense vs Coruripe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
CSE
1 - 2
PEN
41%
23%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
ASA
2 - 2
PEN
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
COR
2 - 1
PEN
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PEN
2 - 1
MUR
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
ASA
2 - 0
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
BJE
1 - 5
COR
42%
23%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
CSE
1 - 1
COR
41%
23%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
COR
1 - 1
MUR
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
COR
1 - 0
COR
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
COR
0 - 2
CSE
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |