SC Paderborn U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
12º
5º
33
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Paderborn U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 3
FOR
49%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BOR
3 - 1
SCP
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SCV
0 - 1
SCP
15%
18%
67%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 1
KOL
21%
21%
59%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BOC
1 - 3
SCP
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
DUI
4 - 0
SCV
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 2
DUI
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 4
DUI
63%
19%
17%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DUI
1 - 1
BOC
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 2
DUI
38%
23%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |