Ortmann vs Zwettl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
SCO
3 - 5
SCH
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
KRE
10 - 1
SCO
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
KRE
5 - 1
SCO
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
SCO
0 - 2
SVS
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
ZWE
4 - 3
SCO
38%
22%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zwettl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 4
ZWE
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
ZWE
2 - 2
SPR
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
ZWE
0 - 3
RAP
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
ZWE
1 - 1
SVR
54%
21%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
STP
2 - 3
ZWE
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |