Ortmann vs St. Pölten II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
69.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
ASV
5 - 3
SCO
42%
22%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SCO
1 - 4
SVR
40%
23%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
SCO
2 - 2
KOT
16%
19%
66%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SPR
3 - 2
SCO
28%
22%
51%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
SCO
1 - 1
MAN
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
STP
3 - 0
SPR
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 2
STP
8%
13%
79%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
STP
1 - 1
ARD
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GAF
2 - 3
STP
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
STP
4 - 0
WAI
52%
21%
26%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |