Ortmann vs Spratzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
24%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 2
SCO
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
SCO
1 - 1
SCR
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
SCH
4 - 3
SCO
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
SCO
1 - 1
STP
32%
21%
47%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
WAI
1 - 2
SCO
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SPR
0 - 1
SVR
46%
25%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 2
SPR
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SPR
3 - 4
MAN
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 3
SPR
45%
23%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SPR
2 - 2
SCR
15%
20%
65%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |