Ortmann vs Spratzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
ARD
0 - 0
SCO
52%
22%
26%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
SCO
2 - 0
ZWE
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
WAI
0 - 2
SCO
49%
21%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 1
SCO
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2020 |
SCO
7 - 4
BFB
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
SPR
2 - 0
SVR
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ARD
1 - 3
SPR
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
SPR
2 - 3
SKS
21%
21%
58%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
SPR
1 - 1
STA
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
KRE
2 - 2
SPR
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |