Ortmann vs Sollenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2009 |
ASV
2 - 0
SCO
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
SVS
2 - 1
SCO
75%
16%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 0
MIS
24%
24%
52%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GAF
4 - 1
SCO
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
0 - 0
SVH
43%
25%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sollenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
SOL
2 - 0
SCH
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
ASV
0 - 2
SOL
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
LAN
4 - 1
SOL
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
SOL
2 - 2
SVH
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SCR
2 - 2
SOL
29%
24%
47%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |