Ortmann vs SC Retz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
13º
16º
15º
69
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ARD
4 - 0
SCO
66%
21%
13%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SCO
3 - 4
STP
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ADM
1 - 1
SCO
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SCU
2 - 0
SCO
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
4 - 1
SCO
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SC Retz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SCR
2 - 1
SCU
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SCR
6 - 0
ASV
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +3 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 2
SCR
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SCR
2 - 0
SIM
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 1
SCR
16%
19%
65%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |